Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.156276 0.180779 0.207832 0.239915 0.276925 0.318287 0.368029
2025-11-09 0.112403 0.143810 0.182056 0.232053 0.295706 0.374079 0.478001
2025-11-16 0.093554 0.128377 0.173771 0.237265 0.323826 0.437810 0.599537
2025-11-23 0.079566 0.115614 0.165290 0.238721 0.344578 0.491820 0.712593
2025-11-30 0.069882 0.106705 0.159949 0.242515 0.367430 0.549610 0.836127
2025-12-07 0.060135 0.095997 0.150140 0.237779 0.376237 0.586918 0.932735
2025-12-14 0.052722 0.087656 0.142517 0.234868 0.386653 0.626727 1.036480
2025-12-21 0.047791 0.082505 0.139043 0.237733 0.405979 0.681782 1.169814
2025-12-28 0.045083 0.080614 0.140486 0.248599 0.439303 0.762535 1.354078
2026-01-04 0.041997 0.077629 0.139634 0.255236 0.465826 0.834183 1.530067
2026-01-11 0.039125 0.074637 0.138347 0.260790 0.490762 0.905221 1.712152
2026-01-18 0.036147 0.071063 0.135556 0.263149 0.509888 0.967419 1.884198
2026-01-25 0.032721 0.066295 0.130142 0.260174 0.519070 1.013016 2.031622
2026-02-01 0.029039 0.060591 0.122324 0.251661 0.516609 1.036348 2.138625
2026-02-08 0.027343 0.058682 0.121687 0.257312 0.542806 1.117922 2.370778
2026-02-15 0.025406 0.056029 0.119232 0.258890 0.560703 1.184485 2.578982
2026-02-22 0.023903 0.054115 0.118071 0.263003 0.584247 1.264797 2.824621
2026-03-01 0.021749 0.050512 0.112923 0.257869 0.587170 1.301769 2.979880
2026-03-08 0.019980 0.047569 0.108881 0.254712 0.594046 1.347793 3.159999
2026-03-15 0.018851 0.045973 0.107662 0.257819 0.615413 1.427865 3.426266
2026-03-22 0.018415 0.045967 0.110060 0.269598 0.658158 1.560483 3.829490
2026-03-29 0.017688 0.045171 0.110522 0.276793 0.690739 1.672782 4.196125
2026-04-05 0.016934 0.044219 0.110509 0.282814 0.721078 1.782749 4.568802